Did you place a bet on the Green Bay Packers this past week? If you did, you probably felt good about yourself before the game knowing that you had followed the “smart” money. But then, of course, the game happened.
Looking at the NFL Week 1 betting odds throughout the week, the Seattle Seahawks were a solid 6 point favorite (even 6.5 in some places) to defeat the Packers at Seattle’s Soundgarden (pun intented), otherwise known as CenturyLink Field.
The day of the game, there was a sudden movement in the odds, with the late “smart” money going on the Packers, bringing the line down to 4.5 pts by game time. The Packers were not up to the task at all, seemingly, getting shellacked 36-16 by the Seahawks in a game that was even as close as that 20-point margin. I’d say a bunch of “smart” bettors (is that an oxymoron) are feeling pretty dumb right now.
But the good news is, there are 15 more games this weekend to make up for that blunder. Looking at the odds below, a few things stand out to me.
As high as the over/under on the Saints/Falcons games is, I’d take the over. The high-powered Saints offense might hit that total all by themselves against the poor Falcons defense. And the Falcons can score plenty of points as well.
I’d be inclined to go with Philly at home giving 11 points in a rout of Jacksonville.
I can’t see any way the 49ers don’t beat the Cowboys by at least a touchdown, even with the game at JerryWorld. Give the 3.5 points.
Finally, in a move that flies in the face of common sense, I’d take the over of 40 on the Jets vs. Oakland game.
DISCLAIMER. I don’t recommend betting on games, but if you do and follow my advice, you’re just being stupid. DON’T DO IT! This is just for fun. Go do your research on NFL.com before betting.
NFL WEEK 1 Betting Odds: (home team is the bottom team)
Start | Team | 5Dimes | Sports Interaction | BOVADA | Mirage | DonBest Consensus | |
Note: SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7TH | |||||||
1:00 PM | NOS | -2.5 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | |
ATL | |||||||
O/U: | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | ||
1:00 PM | MIN | ||||||
STL | -3 | -3 | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3 | ||
O/U: | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43.5 | 43 | ||
1:00 PM | CLE | ||||||
PIT | -7.5 | -7 | -7 | -7 | -7 | ||
O/U: | 41.5 | 42 | 41.5 | 42 | 41.5 | ||
1:00 PM | JAC | ||||||
PHI | -11 | -10.5 | -10.5 | -10 | -10 | ||
O/U: | 51.5 | 51.5 | 52 | 52.5 | 51.5 | ||
1:00 PM | OAK | ||||||
NYJ | -5 | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5 | -5.5 | ||
O/U: | 40.5 | 40.5 | 40.5 | 40 | 40.5 | ||
1:00 PM | CIN | ||||||
BAL | -1 | -1.5 | -1 | -2 | -1.5 | ||
O/U: | 42.5 | 43 | 43 | 43.5 | 43 | ||
1:00 PM | BUF | ||||||
CHI | -7.5 | -7 | -7 | -7 | -6.5 | ||
O/U: | 47.5 | 47 | 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.5 | ||
1:00 PM | WAS | ||||||
HOU | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | ||
O/U: | 44.5 | 44.5 | 45 | 44.5 | 44.5 | ||
1:00 PM | TEN | ||||||
KAN | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | ||
O/U: | 44 | 44 | 43.5 | 43.5 | 44 | ||
1:00 PM | NEP | -4 | -4 | -5 | -4 | -4 | |
MIA | |||||||
O/U: | 46.5 | 46.5 | 46.5 | 47 | 46.5 | ||
4:25 PM | CAR | ||||||
TAM | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3 | -3 | -3 | ||
O/U: | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 37.5 | ||
4:25 PM | SFX | -3.5 | -4 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4 | |
DAL | |||||||
O/U: | 51 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51 | ||
8:30 PM | IND | ||||||
DEN | -9 | -7.5 | -8 | -7 | -7.5 | ||
O/U: | 55 | 56 | 55.5 | 55.5 | 55 | ||
Note: MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 8TH | |||||||
7:10 PM | NYG | ||||||
DET | -7 | -6.5 | -6 | -6 | -6.5 | ||
O/U: | 47 | 47 | 47 | 47 | 47 | ||
10:20 PM | SDC | ||||||
ARI | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | ||
O/U: | 46.5 | 46.5 | 46.5 | 46 | 46 |
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Jersey Al Bracco is the founder and editor of AllGreenBayPackers.com, and the co-founder of Packers Talk Radio Network. He can be heard as one of the Co-Hosts on Cheesehead Radio and is the Green Bay Packers Draft Analyst for Drafttek.com.
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Just bet on the Packers to lose and the over in Packer games. Guaranteed winner over the course of the season.
Pack favored by 81/2 over Jets. Back up the truck. O/U = 45. I will probably pass on O/U but Jets +8.5 is sweet.