Category Archives: NFL Draft Profiles

14

May

Green Bay Packers Quasi-Objective 2014 Draft Analysis: By the Points

Ted Thompson build the 2010 winner through the draft. How will the 2014 draft grade out?

Ted Thompson built the 2010 winner through the draft. How will the 2014 draft grade out?

Green Bay Packers general manager Ted Thompson just completed his 2014 draft class. While the opinions of his selections are mixed, the general consensus is his performance is mostly positive.

Thompson has claimed that he never drafts for need and sticks to his board to select the best available player. I personally believe that this statement is only partially true. He most likely drafts for need by selecting the best available player at that position.

Rather than assigning arbitrary letter grades to the draft picks, I am going to take a quasi-objective approach to grading the draft.

I will use the Draft Trade Value Chart to assign a numerical value to each of the Packers 2014 draft picks. Then, I will use the overall ranking of each draft pick (as assigned by CBS Sports) and assign them a point value based on the Draft Trade Value Chart to compare the value of each pick. For example, #1 overall prospect JaDeveon Clowney is worth 3000 points.

No one knows each general manager’s draft board, nor how they truly rank prospects. I am taking some liberties here in my analyses, but it’s the best anyone can hope for without actually sitting in the war room.

If the Packers are truly selecting the best player on the board, I am assuming the value of each player should be equal or exceed the value of the trade value of the pick. If the Packers are drafting for need, I am assuming the player’s value to be lower than the pick’s worth.

At the end, I will compare the total trade value of the draft picks to the value of each player taken and make a conclusion on how savvy Ted Thompson was during the 2014 draft.

Of course assigning a prospect ranking is still subjective, hence making this a quasi-objective analysis.

The Draft Chart:

Draft Trade Value Chart. Image from SBNation.com.

Draft Trade Value Chart. Image from SBNation.com and HamboTalk.wordpress.com.

According to this chart, the Packers draft picks (21, 53, 85, 98, 121, 161, 176, 197, and 236) have a total value of 1557 points.

Pick 1: Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, FS (21)

  • Pick value = 800 points
  • Prospect ranking = 18
  • Prospect value = 900 points
  • Difference = +100 points
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10

May

Packers 2014 NFL Draft Seventh Round Pick: Jeff Janis, Wide Receiver, Saginaw Valley State

(AP Photo/Duane Burleson)

(AP Photo/Duane Burleson)

With their 7th round pick (236th overall) in the 2014 NFL draft, the Green Bay Packers select Jeff Janis, a WR from Saginaw Valley State.

PLAYER DETAILS:

Jeff Janis
WR
Saginaw Valley State
6’3″/219 lbs.

COMBINE:

4.42 40-yard dash, 2.48 20-yard, 1.51 10-yard, 37.5″ vertical, 10’3″ broad, 3.98 20 shuttle, 6.64 3-cone.

CAREER NOTES:

From the Saginaw Valley State Athletics webpage: “Competed in and started all 11 games for Saginaw Valley during his junior campaign…was second in the nation with 106 receptions and led all DII players with 1,635 receiving yards, both of which set new SVSU single season marks…set a Saginaw Valley and GLIAC record with 300 receiving yards at Lake Erie (Sep. 22)…broke the Cardinal and GLIAC single game mark for receptions with 18 against Michigan Tech (Oct. 27)…established a new season standard in the GLIAC with 92 conference receptions on the year…scored 18 total touchdowns (17 receiving, 1 rushing) to finish with a team-best 108 points on the season and ranked third in the GLIAC with a 9.8 points per game average…hauled in the game-winning touchdown pass in the season finale against Grand Valley St. (Nov. 10)…caught a season-long 73-yard reception at Lake Erie (Sep. 22)…named to the AP Little All-America Squad (Dec. 14) and the Darktronics Division II Football All-America First Team (Dec. 12)…honored as the GLIAC “Offensive Back of the Year” and was one of 24 candidates nominated for the annual Harlon Hill Award…selected to the All-GLIAC First Team and the GLIAC All-Academic team…chosen as the GLIAC “Offensive Player of the Week” four times during the season (Sep. 4, Sep. 24, Oct. 29, Nov. 12).”

SCOUTING REPORT:

From NFL.com: “Exceptional measurables and leaping ability — will test through the roof. Accelerates into routes quickly and can separate vertically and uncover underneath working short-to-intermediate zones. Terrific production — carves up lesser competition and creates chunk plays. Good red-zone target. Exceptional work ethic. Outstanding football character. Very passionate about the game.

“Has very small, inconsistent hands — will cradle the ball and use his body. Is not a nuanced route runner. Does not attack the ball in the air and will give up some break points. Not strong after the catch and will look for a soft landing spot. Can be fazed by traffic. Regularly faced Division II competition. Not a consistent blocker — does not play to his size.

10

May

Packers 2014 NFL Draft – Sixth Round Pick: Demetri Goodson, Cornerback, Baylor

(AP Photo/LM Otero)

(AP Photo/LM Otero)

With their 6th round pick (197th overall) in the 2014 NFL draft, the Green Bay Packers select Demetri Goodson, a CB from Baylor.

PLAYER DETAILS:

Demetri Goodson
CB
Baylor
5’11″/194 lbs.

COMBINE:

4.45 40-yard dash, 2.50 20-yard, 1.59 10-yard, 10’3″ broad, 4.34 20 shuttle, 6.80 3-cone.

CAREER NOTES:

From the Baylor Department of Athletics webpage: “All-Big 12 cornerback, played three seasons at Baylor after transferring from Gonzaga… Named 2013 honorable mention All-Big 12 by league coaches, led conference in PBUs (1.5 bpg)… 2014 NFL Scouting Combine invitee… Played 2013 after hardship waiver granted extra season of eligibility following season-ending injuries in 2011 (ankle) and 2012 (arm)… Member of Baylor squad that played in three straight bowl games, starting cornerback in 2013 for school’s first Big 12 championship and BCS bowl berth… Made 43 tackles (38 solo), 19 PBUs and four interceptions in 19 career games played… Also returned five total kickoffs (29.8 yards-per-return) in 2011 and 2012… Played three seasons of basketball at Gonzaga, starting point guard on two NCAA tournament teams for Bulldogs… Earned undergraduate degree from Baylor in December 2013 in general studies… Nickname is “Meech”… Older brother, Mike, played running back for Carolina Panthers, Oakland Raiders and New York Jets.”

SCOUTING REPORT:

NFL.com Profile: “Excellent size. Good athletic ability, hand-eye coordination and ball production. Can turn and run vertical. Nice plant-and-drive — breaks on throws. Has a 37-inch vertical. Has some upside. Comes from an athletic family and has NFL bloodlines.

“Has been unable to stay in one piece and durability is a major concern. Has short arms and small hands. Relatively inexperienced with green instincts. Press technique needs to be coached up. Loses separation at the break point. Limited tackle production — gets stuck on blocks and doesn’t set a hard edge. Will be a 25-year-old rookie.

“Overaged, injury-prone, height-weight-speed prospect with a basketball background. Shows in flashes when he’s able to rely on his reactionary skills and natural athleticism to break up throws, but he is raw and will have to prove he offers developmental value.”

COMMENTARY:

This is undoubtedly a value pick and developmental project. After having a good third day drafting to fill needs, Ted Thompson is looking to bolster depth and competition.

10

May

Packers 2014 NFL Draft – Fifth Round Pick: Jared Abbrederis, WR, Wisconsin

With their 5th round pick (176th overall) in the 2014 NFL draft, the Green Bay Packers select Jared Abbrederis, WR, Wisconsin

PLAYER DETAILS: 

Jared Abbrederis
WR
Wisconsin
6’1″/195 lbs

CAREER NOTES: 

Won 2013 Burlsworth Trophy as nation’s top player who began his career as a walk-on … finished career tied for school record for receptions (202) and ranked No. 2 all-time at Wisconsin in receiving yards (3,140) and touchdown receptions (23) … ranks eighth all-time among Big Ten players with 3,140 career receiving yards … registered fourth 1,000-yard season in UW history in 2013 with 1,081 receiving yards … also set school record for kickoff return average (25.8) and ranks No. 5 all-time in punt return average (10.7) … finished career ranked No. 7 all-time at UW with 4,818 all-purpose yards (291 rushing, 3,140 receiving, 587 punt return, 800 kickoff return)

COMBINE: 4.5 40-yard, 4 bench, 30.5″ vertical, 117.0″ broad, 6.80 3-cone, 4.08 shuttle,

 NFL.com Profile

SCOUTING REPORT: 

 Uses his hands well to swat away press. Stems his routes. Sells his patterns. Nice hands. Good field and boundary awareness. Gives effort to engage and shield cornerbacks as a blocker. Outstanding football intelligence — like a quarterback on the outside. Productive three-year starter. Mature and humble. Hardworking and coachable.
 Has a slender build and needs to bulk up and get stronger. Ordinary pop off the line. Builds to average speed. Could struggle to separate vs. quick-twitch covermen. Lets throws into his body and breaks stride to catch. Not an above-the-rim player. Straightlinish after the catch — pedestrian agility and elusiveness. Has a history of concussions.
 A former walk-on, Abbrederis went from afterthought to scholarship player to No. 1 receiver. While the blue-collar overachiever lacks exceptional athletic traits for the NFL, he’s a steady “X” receiver whose hands and smarts could enable him to work his way into a No. 3 or No. 4 receiver role.

COMMENTARY:

Hometown hero Jared Abbrederis doesn’t have to go very far to start his professional career, and while it might be too early to make comparisons but Abbrederis fits the mold of another try hard wide receiver that makes up for his lack of physical tools with hard work and good coaching that the Packers had a lot of success with, namely Donald Driver.  Abbrederis also provides another option at returner, which is always a good thing for the Packers squad that always seems to be in flux.  The wide receiver core looks a lot more stocked now with Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Jarrett Boykin, Davante Adams and now Jared Abbrederis.

10

May

Packers 2014 NFL Draft – Fifth Round Pick: Corey Linsley, Center, Ohio State

With their 5th round pick (161st overall) in the 2014 NFL draft, the Green Bay Packers select Carl Bradford, an LB from Arizona State.

PLAYER DETAILS: 

Corey Linsley
OC
Ohio State
6’3″/296 lbs

CAREER NOTES: 

Corey Linsley has been the center of attention on the Ohio State offensive line for the past two seasons – 2012 and 2013 – and was one of the best centers in the nation during that time … he made the transition from offensive guard/tackle to center in the spring of 2012 and proceeded to start every game as a junior and senior … called the team’s “apex,” he had the responsibility of handling all line of scrimmage play calls, adjustments and snaps … and then he would block and protect with a ferocious authority … he was a tough kid, too, having battled through a couple of injuries the last two years, including foot surgery this spring, to start all 26 games for the Buckeyes, a stretch when the team won a school-record 24-consecutive games … logged more than 1,600 plays from scrimmage (combined) in 2012 and 2013 … he was part of a four-man quartet of seniors along the offensive line who collectively were the heart and soul of the 2013 Buckeyes … he played in 42 games for the Buckeyes … graduated in December 2013 with his degree in economics.

COMBINE: 36 bench, 32″ arms
PRO DAY: 5.03 40-yard, 2.82 20-yard, 1.78 10-yard, 8’11″ broad, 4.53″ 20 shuttle, 7.26 3-cone

 NFL.com Profile

SCOUTING REPORT: 
Stout base. Works to re-anchor. Jolting punch. Strong upper body to latch onto and control defenders in short area. Generates movement in the run game. Understands angles and positioning. Excellent weight-room strength — bench-presses 500 pounds and squats a small house. Smart and dependable. Communicated all the line calls and checks. Is tough and will play hurt. Hardworking team captain with leadership traits.

Has short arms. More strong than explosive — doesn’t roll his hips and blow nose tackles off the ball. Falls off blocks when he bends at the waist. Pedestrian foot athlete — slow to cut off linebackers, labors to pull and lacks lateral quickness to recover when beaten. Stressed by quicker rushers.

Strong-bodied, heavy-handed, short-area mauler who anchored one of the nation’s most physical, productive rushing attacks. Has athletic limitations, but compensates with strength, smarts and competitiveness. Has the makeup to overachieve, and could increase his value by proving versatile enough to back up at guard.
COMMENTARY:

10

May

Packers 2014 NFL Draft – Fourth Round Pick: Carl Bradford, LB, Arizona State

With their 4th round pick (121st overall) in the 2014 NFL draft, the Green Bay Packers select Carl Bradford, an LB from Arizona State.

PLAYER DETAILS: 

Carl Bradford
LB
Arizona State
6’1″/250 lbs

CAREER NOTES: 

Appeared in 39 games and made 28 career starts, including every game in 2012 and 2013…two-time All-Pac-12, including First Team in 2013…Finished career with 40.5 tackles for loss in past two seasons, tied for the fourth most in the nation in that span…Added 21.5 sacks, 10 pass deflections, six forced fumbles, two fumble recoveries and a pair of interceptions…In 2012, he and Sutton became just the first duo in school history to post double-digit sacks in the same season since 1994…Sutton and Bradford’s combined 44 tackles for loss in 2012 were the most for a duo in ASU history and they were the first duo to record 20+ TFLs since Al Harris (22) and Bob Kohrs (20) in 1978…Named Curley Culp Outstanding Defensive Lineman at 2013 team banquet…Graduated with a BS degree in Criminal Justice in Fall 2014.

COMBINE: 4.76 40 yard dash, 23 bench, 30 1/4″ arms, 37.5″ vertical, 122.0 in. broad jump, 7.25 3-cone, 4.30 20yd shuttle

 NFL.com Profile

SCOUTING REPORT: 

Sports a compact, powerful frame. Highly instinctive, physical and versatile defender who splits his time between defensive end, outside linebacker and inside linebacker. Good initial quickness off the snap out of the three-point stance, showing enough speed to cross the face of the offensive tackle, as well as an effective club, rip and spin moves to break free.  Surprisingly effective when run toward due to his quickness and use of leverage, bending to take out the knees of oncoming blockers and creating a pile. Adept at slipping blocks. Locates the football quickly and shows an explosive burst to close emphatically.  
Only occasionally asked to drop back into coverage, but shows at least fair fluidity and speed when doing so. Alert player with a history of making big plays.Played in a highly aggressive scheme that may have maximized his big-play ability while minimizing his faults. Lacks ideal physical traits to remain as an outside pass rusher in the NFL, where he starred for the Sun Devils.  Can be engulfed in the running game (whether playing linebacker or defensive end) and does not appear to possess ideal arm length to break free once blockers latch on.  Smooth accelerator off the edge but doesn’t possess great speed. Can play out of control, at times, dropping his head to deliver the knockout blow and occasionally whiffing on open-field tackles. Can allow his emotions to get the better of him; benched for the second half against Oregon State Nov. 16 after a physical altercation with teammates on the sideline.

COMMENTARY:

9

May

Packers 2014 NFL Draft – Third Round Pick: Richard Rodgers, TE, Cal-Berkeley

Richard Rodgers

Richard Rodgers  TE, Cal – Berkeley

With their third-round pick (98th overall, compensatory) in the 2014 NFL draft, the Green Bay Packers select Richard Rodgers, TE, Cal-Berkeley

PLAYER DETAILS: 

Richard Rodgers, TE, Cal-Berkeley  6’4″, 245 lbs

CAREER NOTES: 

Father, Richard Sr., was involved in “The Play” in the 1982 Cal-Stanford game. . . also played basketball as a Massachusetts prep. . .recruited as a tight end. . .Started 6-of-11 games played in ’12 and caught 20 balls for 288 yards (14.4-yard average) and a touchdown. . .2013: missed time recovering from a torn labrum, played 11 games and pulled in 39-608-1 (15.6)

COMBINE:

4.87 40 yard dash, 16 reps on the bench, 31.5-inch vertical, 9 foot, 8-inch broad jump

NFL.com draft profile 

SCOUTING REPORT (NFL.com and CBSSports.com): 

Strengths: Lanky athlete who has proven the ability to manipulate his weight to fit his team’s offensive scheme. Very good initial quickness for the position, demonstrating the ability to beat defenders upfield with his burst or to gain the advantage while blocking, including on cut-blocks. Long arms and soft hands. Gathers in passes quickly and secures the football. Good agility and straight-line speed for the position. Good balance and body control. Dependable short-to-intermediate receiver. Can snatch throws off his body and make contested grabs. Has potential as a move blocker. Showed dedication and discipline re-shaping his body as a junior.

Weaknesses: Tight hips. Average speed and suddenness — dull in/out of breaks and struggles to separate vs. more explosive safeties. Unrefined route runner.  Started just 11 games in three seasons. Possesses the ability to make the incredible catch but will drop the occasional easy pass and struggles in traffic. Lacks the bulk and strength to hold up as an in-line blocker in the NFL. A bit finesse in his play, relying more on his athleticism than physicality. Gets to the second level quickly but rather than latching on to control opponents, Richard extends his arms and stops his feet, allowing defenders to break free easily from his blocks.

COMMENTARY:

The tight end position was certainly going to be addressed earlier than later in this draft.  Jermichael Finley still has not been medically cleared following his severe neck injury last season and no timetable is set for him to return.  The Packers appear to be proceeding as if Finley won’t be back.