Packers Odds Swing with the Team’s Fortunes Heading into Game Against Dolphins

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As Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers have seen their season go through interchanging phases of panic and productivity, so too have their fellow teams in the NFC North. The result has been that the Pack’s Futures lines have swung dramatically in the early weeks of the 2014 NFL season, from +1500 to win the Super Bowl, up to almost +1,800 after their Week 3 loss to the Lions, and now down to +1,000.

Week 6’s game against the Miami Dolphins has the potential to solidify Green Bay’s valuation as one of the top teams in the league. Rodgers and his receivers have been able to pick apart teams with leaky secondaries, but this Miami team ranks in the top third of the league in passing yards allowed at 208.8 yards per game.

When Green Bay has faced more stout passing defenses, they have struggled, as the suddenly-strong secondary of the Detroit Lions held the Packers to just 147 yards through the air, just two weeks after the Seahawks kept Rodgers to 189 yards on 23 of 33 throwing.

If the Packers can get it going through the air in Week 6, it will further put to rest some of the early-season doubts about this 2014 offense. A major element of that process will be engaging Eddie Lacy and the run game more effectively, after coach Mike McCarthy called running back “a beast” in his post-game press conference last week.

The Fins have allowed 107.2 yards per game in the run game and if the rushing attack earns the Miami defense’s respect, Rodgers will have space to pick apart that tough pass defense.

There is a lot of season left to go, but things are trending in the right direction. With a win over Miami and a Lions loss, the Packers would take sole possession of the NFC North lead heading into their Week 7 meeting with the Carolina Panthers.